sexta-feira, 4 de novembro de 2016

Todo dia, na manchete principal do "MarketWatch", do "The Wall Street Journal", tem uma visão Bull-Market......todo dia.....aqui, mais uma....."SP500 vai subir 10% até Abril de 2017"...........agora, a pergunta.....a partir de quanto ? de 2.100 ? 2.000 ? 1.900 ?....1.500 ?

O veículo mais Bull-Market da imprensa especializada em mercado financeiro.... o "MarketWatch", do "The Wall Street Journal"....mais até do que a CNBC.....

Nõa há um dia sequer que você não veja em "letras grandes" alguma matéria que nos remata para uma visão BULL dos mercados.....

Aqui, mais uma...

Opinion: This solid market predictor sees S&P 500 up 10% by April 2017
By Mark Hulbert
Published: Nov 4, 2016 5:18 a.m. ET

The S&P 500 at the end of April 2017 will be trading between 2,270 and 2,310 — between 8% and 10% higher than it now stands.

Before I tell you which model is so upbeat, let me add that, at the end of this past April, it predicted the S&P 500 SPX, -0.44%  would be at 2,200 on Oct. 31. If this forecast had been on target, the S&P 500 would have gained 6.5%. As fate would have it, it gained 2.9%.

Was that six-months-ago forecast accurate enough to justify paying attention to the model’s current projection? Your answer tells us much about whether you have realistic investment expectations.

The model I am referring to was developed by Samuel Eisenstadt, the former research director at Value Line Inc. Though he retired in 2009 after 63 years at that firm, he continues in retirement to update and refine a complex econometric model that generates six-month forecasts for the broad U.S. market.